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November 21st, 2009

Things about which I was right or wrong

I was wrong that it was better to let Bush get his guaranteed-to-happen invasion over with as quickly as possible, rather than try to push it off as long as possible in hopes finding a way out.

OTOH I was right that Bush would botch it up worse than my expectations. (For you nerds: I was right in the second-order expectation.)

I was wrong that it would have been better to impeach Bush than to wait him out – largely because I underestimated Bush’s capacity for disengagement.

But I was right that pardoning Lewis Libby would have been a disaster for Bush, and that the commutation was perfect; and I was right that Bush would not botch the commutation with a pardon, though nearly universal media opinion that Bush would pardon Libby made me waver.

I was wrong that Dick Cheney doesn’t routinely soil his armor. OTOH I was right that Bush made the final decisions.

And I was right that if a storm hit New Orleans it would reveal Bush's character.

What I am listening to

I’m listening to John McCain denounce the drug companies in the Senate debate, and scold Obama for trying to deal with them.

Go figure.

Latest Month

June 2016


  • 25 Mar 2014, 01:22
    In case it matters, the most recent confirmed lahar is about 500 years ago, but there were mixed reports of eruptions in the late 1800s.
  • 25 Mar 2014, 01:20
    Pretty low until you jinxed them.
  • 25 Mar 2014, 01:01
    What would you estimate the odds to be of it happening in the next 200 years?
  • 27 Jan 2014, 06:22
    Thinking about it further, I think I now understand. You're saying the WSJ is being antisemitic, not the people they're quoting.

    I don't think they'd listen to it coming from us, but a…
  • 27 Jan 2014, 06:09
    I'm not noticing it either. Seems to me they *are* being assholes to Jews, but only moreso than anybody else if we happen to be in the way. I think that's gneral-purpose assholery, not…
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